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-5.5% GWC

Denver faced a 4th & 1 at the Jacksonville 39-yard line. The score was tied early in the 1st quarter. Denver chose to punt instead of going for it, let alone attempting a field goal. This decision decreased the Broncos’ pre-snap GWC by 5.5%. Using historical data, a team can be expected to gain the requisite one yard 70% of the time. Had they gone for it, Denver’s GWC would have been 58.6% with a conversion on a one-yard gain and 47.0% without converting. Despite achieving the best possible outcome on a punt, downing the ball at the Jaguars’ 1-yard line, their resulting GWC was only 50.2%.

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