The EdjSports NFL Playoff and Super Bowl Probabilities are a cumulative measurement of a team’s strength in four key categories (offensive pass, offensive rush, defensive pass and defensive rush). Each week, our model, Zeno assesses the performance of every team on every play. In each instance, a comparison is made between a team’s expected Game Winning Chance (“GWC”) prior to the snap and how an actual team’s performance changed the GWC during the play. During the course of the season, more than 7 Billion simulations are performed to develop our rankings.
*Our probabilities include injuries but were performed prior to the Deshaun Watson announcement late this afternoon.